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REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS IN Q1 2020

In Q1 2020, prices of second-hand dwellings in France (excluding Mayotte) accelerated: +1.9% compared to Q4 2019 (provisional seasonally adjusted results), after +1.3% in Q4 and +1.0% in Q3.

Over a year, the rise in prices noticeably intensified: +5.0%, after +3.7%, and +3.2%. As observed since the end of 2016, this increase was more important for flats (+6.4% over the year) than for houses (+4.0%).

Variation in prices of second-hand dwellings in France

Variation in prices of second-hand dwellings in France
  change in
  3 months (S.A.) 12 months
  2019 Q3 2019 Q4(sd) 2020 Q1(p) 2019 Q3 2019 Q4(sd) 2020 Q1(p)
France 1.0 1.3 1.9 3.2 3.7 5.0
Flats 0.9 1.8 2.3 4.0 5.3 6.4
Houses 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.5 2.6 4.0

 

  • (p): provisional; (sd): semi-definitive
  • Scope: France (excluding Mayotte)
  • Sources : Insee, ADSN – BIEN – Grand Paris notaries, French notaries, Perval society

Prices of second-hand dwellings In Île-de-France were still rising

In Q1 2020, prices of second-hand dwellings in Île-de-France were again increasing more quickly than the previous quarters: +2.2% compared to Q4 2019, after +1.6% and +1.0%.

Year on year, prices pursued their acceleration: +5.7% between Q1 2019 and Q1 2020, after +4.0% in Q4 2019 and +3.6% in Q3 2019. This increase stayed mainly driven by flats’ prices, which increased by +6.8% over the year, while houses’ prices increased by +3.4%. In particular, in Paris, flats’ prices rose by +8.0% year on year in the first quarter of 2020, after +6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2019 and +6.2% in the third. Excluding Paris, the annual rise in Île-de-France stayed noticeable, but were less important: +4.6%.

In provincial France, the rise in prices of second-hand dwellings intensified

In Q1 2020, prices of second-hand dwelling in provincial France kept increasing at a sustained pace: +1.7% after +1.2%, and +1.0%.

Over the year, the rise in prices were still intensifying, it was similar to the annual rise in Île-de-France excluding Paris: +4.7% between Q1 2019 and Q1 2020, after +3.6% and +3.0%. Uniformly to what was observed in Île-de-France, prices of flats were more dynamic (+6.0% y-o-y), even though prices of houses were also rising steadily (+4.1%).

Variation in prices of second-hand dwellings in metropolitan France

Variation in prices of second-hand dwellings in metropolitan France
  Change in
  3 months (S.A.) 12 months
  2019 Q3 2019 Q4(sd) 2020 Q1(p) 2019 Q3 2019 Q4(sd) 2020 Q1(p)
Metropolitan France 1.0 1.3 1.8 3.2 3.7 5.0
Île-de-France 1.0 1.6 2.2 3.6 4.0 5.7
Provincial France 1.0 1.2 1.7 3.0 3.6 4.7
- Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes 1.5 1.4 ** 4.1 5.2 **
- Hauts-de-France 1.3 -0.4 ** 2.5 1.9 **
- Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur 0.4 1.5 ** 1.7 3.0 **
Flats 0.9 1.8 2.3 4.0 5.3 6.4
Île-de-France 1.0 2.0 2.3 4.7 5.7 6.8
- Paris 1.1 2.2 2.8 6.2 6.7 8.0
- Immediate suburbs 1.2 1.9 2.0 4.5 5.4 6.5
- Outer suburbs 0.1 2.0 1.2 0.9 3.1 4.2
Provincial France 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.4 4.9 6.0
- Conurbation > 10 000 inhabitants 0.9 1.6 ** 3.5 5.1 **
* Central town 0.9 2.0 ** 3.8 5.7 **
* Suburb 1.0 1.0 ** 3.1 4.1 **
- Conurbation < 10 000 inhabitants 0.5 1.4 ** 2.1 3.1 **
- Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes 1.4 1.7 ** 4.8 6.0 **
* Lyon 2.1 2.3 ** 10.0 11.6 **
- Hauts-de-France 1.2 2.2 ** 2.4 4.3 **
- Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur -0.3 1.4 ** 1.7 3.2 **
* Marseille 2.1 1.2 ** 1.7 3.6 **
Houses 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 2.6 4.0
Île-de-France 0.9 0.7 2.2 1.3 0.6 3.4
- Immediate suburbs 0.9 0.6 3.1 2.0 0.5 3.7
- Outer suburbs 0.9 0.8 1.7 0.9 0.6 3.2
Provincial France 1.0 1.0 1.4 2.8 3.0 4.1
- Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes 1.5 1.1 ** 3.6 4.5 **
- Hauts-de-France 1.3 -0.8 ** 2.5 1.5 **
* Conurbation of Lille -0.3 -0.5 ** 2.4 0.8 **
- Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur 1.1 1.6 ** 1.8 2.8 **

 

  • ** index released on 6th of July 2020
  • Additional data (for example by department in Île-de-France) are available on the web page of the indicator
  • (p): provisional ; (sd): semi-definitive
  • Scope: Metropolitan France
  • Sources : Insee. ADSN – BIEN – Grand Paris notaries. French notaries. Perval society

Still more than a million of annual transactions at the end of March 2020

In Q1 2020, the annual number of transactions decreased, but stayed anyway at a very high level: in March, this number reached 1,037,000 on a yearly basis, after 1,065,000 at the end of December 2019 and 982,000 at the end of March 2019. Compared to the stock of available dwellings which increases by around 1% a year, the proportion of transactions was, since the beginning of 2019, higher to the high level observed in the early 2000, despite the slight decline observed this quarter.


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